Polymarket Trader

5273853

0x10b289276b2b69cac7b1bbc58601009b6ee74ceb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.81K
Realized PnL: $12.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.85K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $73.61
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.39K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $40.91
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$14.51

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $207.25
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $57.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $106.12
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$43.88

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$111.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $107.04
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$42.96

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $113.28
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $43.57
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$56.43

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $165.5
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: $65.51

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $172.1
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $60.96
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$8.11

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $33.83
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$17.21

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $64
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $936
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $989
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $16.14
Potential payout: $978.18
Potential profit: $962.04
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $165.72
Potential payout: $898.21
Potential profit: $732.49
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $15.72

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $120.44
Potential payout: $882.35
Potential profit: $761.91
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$29.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $19.53
Potential payout: $868
Potential profit: $848.47
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$2.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.15

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.28

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $522.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.3

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.59

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.63

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.39

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.91

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.11

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.12

Barbora Palicova position

Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.56

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.61

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.37

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.15

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.42

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.63

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 31.1% 3.31 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

No 22.9% 216.87 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

No 20.9% 27.51 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 42.5% 3.98 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 500 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 500 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 33.3% 10.96 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 11.9% 18.66 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 44% 4.95 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

No 41% 9.68 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

No 41% 8.59 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 30.6% 25.29 shares