Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $7.35K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $92.65K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Polymarket Trader
0x10B30364936B03d26B3FD01a63D1f991454b40d4-1723051915288
0x10b30364936b03d26b3fd01a63d1f991454b40d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.87K
- Realized PnL
- $1.08M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $59.85K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.83K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.23K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $40.78K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $725
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $6.83K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $43.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.83K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.42K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.91K
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $6.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$470.98
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.72K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $155
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.05K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $575
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.43K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.66K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$315
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.82K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $175
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $395
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.6K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.72K
- Potential profit
- $87.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $102.42
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$870
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $980
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $61
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$759
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$770.99
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $87.04
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $984.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $973.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $445
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $555
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$325
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.35K
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.63K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.39K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.03K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.53K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2K
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25K
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04K
No position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49K
No position
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4K
No position
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01K
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43K
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75K
No position
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42K
Georgia Tech position
Georgia Tech vs. Boston College
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27K
Yes position
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55K
No position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9K
Georgia Tech position
Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.4% 40,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 40,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.2% 64,201.72 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 49% 1,155.8 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 10,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 10,000 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 10,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes 85% 1,325.94 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 40% 615.94 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 23% 518.55 shares