Polymarket Trader

wackywu

@wakywu

0x10baa5e530fe99766598516f6fd856b22ac210b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $8.04K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $861.39
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$274.76

No position

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $124.66
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$30.12

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $190.44
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $35.52

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $171.81
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$22.41

No position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $753.1
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $461.58
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $24.62
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $711.29
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $391.49
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$41.3

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $989.5
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$219.5

Yes position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $183.28
Potential payout: $990.7
Potential profit: $807.42
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$90.51

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $151.28
Potential payout: $808.99
Potential profit: $657.71
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $445.17
Potential payout: $627
Potential profit: $181.83
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $373.46
Potential payout: $579
Potential profit: $205.55
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $131.62
Potential payout: $461.97
Potential profit: $330.35
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $343.98
Potential payout: $441
Potential profit: $97.02
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $36.1
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $343.9
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$17.1

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $103.53
Potential payout: $356.99
Potential profit: $253.46
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.6%
Current value: $180.03
Potential payout: $355.8
Potential profit: $175.77
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$140.71

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $149.7
Potential payout: $329
Potential profit: $179.31
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $308.61
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$11.63

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $30.16
Potential payout: $208
Potential profit: $177.84
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184.1
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $166.17
Potential payout: $191
Potential profit: $24.83
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $7.64

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $80.48
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $104.53
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $6.47

No position

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $55.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $9.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 18.9% 397.99 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 13% 208 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 42% 556 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 46% 490 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 46% 914 shares
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 40% 185 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 46% 219.5 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 14% 159 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 14% 221 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 17.7% 411 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 1,494 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 49% 318 shares