Polymarket Trader

Jochen-167

@0xJochenm

0x10cbc69a106714e80fd2083660d0dd53a1db1a38

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.54
Realized PnL: $462.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $4.34
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $3.68
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $1.88
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.08

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.45

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.86

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Magic position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Clippers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Hornets

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Trail Blazers position

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Thunder position

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Lakers position

Clippers vs. Lakers

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Raptors position

Pacers vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Lakers position

Mavericks vs. Lakers

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 71% 4.23 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 1.88 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 1.45 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 64% 2.34 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 3.68 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 2.25 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 5.41 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 3.37 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83.7% 12.18 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 82.1% 12.18 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 5.47 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares