Polymarket Trader

gurenus

0x10d7853322eceb2e73f3e386e03056ae688aeb3b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $201.06
Realized PnL: $2.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $60.96
Potential payout: $308.64
Potential profit: $247.69
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $60.96

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $308.64
Potential profit: $265.9
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $42.75

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.85
Potential profit: $213.85
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.53
Potential profit: $173.53
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.54
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $80.38
Potential profit: $73.95
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $30.38
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $44.63
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $60.16
Potential profit: $55.04
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $31.16
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $6.84
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $31.16

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $14.27
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $5.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Prince Andrew released by February 19?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Prince Andrew released by February 20?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.71

No position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.51

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.55

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.82

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.84

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.42

No position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.94

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.32

No position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Yes 91% 10.99 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 16% 18.75 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 26% 75 shares
Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 5 shares
Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?

Yes 39.4% 15.25 shares
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 428.57 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 91% 3.38 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 59% 3.39 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 84% 69.41 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 28% 20 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 10% 40 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares