Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
asee
0x10e836c3206d925d4e401f5128ddc29a1914e98f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.55
- Realized PnL
- -$34.37
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $616.09
- Potential profit
- $615.17
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$49.08
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $175.05
- Potential profit
- $169.71
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $70.79
- Potential profit
- $66.86
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$13.97
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $10.66
- Potential payout
- $66.63
- Potential profit
- $55.97
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $28.41
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $14.39
- Potential profit
- $12.42
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.81
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 22.4% 66.63 shares
- Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No 50% 20.58 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 17.76 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 11% 26.36 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 32% 3.13 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.3% 15.79 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 14.39 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 0.6% 175.05 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 6.9% 28.99 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 38% 26.32 shares