Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $34.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Polymarket Trader
kdaou
0x10ecb420bdd42d3fafd3a8fa2959bc96df57ca30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $847.93
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $632.49
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $10.37K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$346.5
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$275
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $431.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $430.56
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 42.4% 3,307.98 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes 13.7% 16,533.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 16.2% 11,834.08 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 23.5% 4,120.85 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes 14% 9,656 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes 7% 6,877.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 30.9% 1,572.44 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 12.5% 7,711.96 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 28% 1,735.54 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 13% 705.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.3% 261.97 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 8.9% 1,184.28 shares