Polymarket Trader

libao9825

0x10ff04de076b6646a78a95f18112fb6cdedd875e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.29
Realized PnL: $56.83
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $20.49
Potential payout: $376
Potential profit: $355.51
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.16
Potential profit: $213.16
User PnL: -$10.68

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$15

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $137.93
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rich country" or "Richest country" during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.32
Potential profit: $81.32
User PnL: -$49.17

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.68
Potential profit: $76.68
User PnL: -$36.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$1.5

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.45
Potential profit: $49.45
User PnL: -$19.78

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.9
Potential profit: $40.9
User PnL: -$8.51

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $36.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.8

No position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $31.82
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.93
Potential profit: $30.93
User PnL: -$23.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.56
Potential profit: $11.56
User PnL: -$5.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.47
Potential profit: $11.47
User PnL: -$7.11

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tax" or "Tariff" 7+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $10.13
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.79
Potential profit: $6.79
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.39
Potential profit: $5.39
User PnL: -$1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Snowflake say "Partnership" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.15

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 80 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 50% 2.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Down 37% 2.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 94% 1.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 80% 1.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 89% 1.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 48% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 13% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 26% 3.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Down 87% 4.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Down 40% 2.5 shares