Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Polymarket Trader
MGSIV
0x10ff90d0c94c29fc30b25cb0a4061a896eb9de16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.15
- Realized PnL
- $7.21
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Horrible" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Weapon" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 5+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "History" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Aggressive" or "Aggressiveness" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Los Angeles" 5+ times during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Messi" 20+ times during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 65% 1.54 shares
- Will the announcers say "Horrible" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will the announcers say "Aggressive" or "Aggressiveness" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 53.6% 1.87 shares
- Will the announcers say "History" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 74% 1.35 shares
- Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- Will Trump say "Golden Dome" in July?Yes 83% 1.2 shares
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 30% 3.33 shares