Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $477.5
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $701.51
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $20.04
Polymarket Trader
ebenezeroscar
0x11029b673d1cd77b98d1bd0af6a1ebfe55cd49b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $477.5
- Realized PnL
- $15.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $347
- Potential profit
- $347
- User PnL
- -$173.5
Penguins position
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.82
- Potential profit
- $275.82
- User PnL
- -$171.01
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$6.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.08
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Bodo Glimt position
Bodo Glimt vs. Olympiakos, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?
Ends Mar 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Matthews position
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuani
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Imavov position
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Michael Robert House (Player 453) win the Beast Games?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 83% 22 shares
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Penguins 62% 272.64 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No 96% 32.81 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.8% 1,179 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.7% 51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ETDown 50% 17,432 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2AM ETDown 50% 8,760 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov 49% 5 shares
- Will Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?Yes 50% 5 shares
- "The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 60%?No 99.8% 2 shares
- "The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60–69%?No 99.8% 1 shares
- "The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 70–79%?No 99.8% 1 shares