Polymarket Trader

0x110fCF447171007b041dfe429B36771732Dd23C9-1767502854729

0x110fcf447171007b041dfe429b36771732dd23c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $274.02
Realized PnL: $431.84
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71K
Potential profit: $35.71K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.89K
Potential profit: $22.89K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.17K
Potential profit: $17.17K
User PnL: -$3.72K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.72K
Potential profit: $16.72K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.52K
Potential profit: $5.52K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.17K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $3.84K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $102.45
Potential payout: $890.91
Potential profit: $788.45
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $96.88
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $528.13
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $74.69
Potential payout: $515.12
Potential profit: $440.43
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$25.31

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.21
Potential profit: $423.21
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.04
Potential profit: $229.04
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.84

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 19.4% 515.12 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 16% 625 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

No 11.2% 890.91 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 24% 4,166.67 shares
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 43.7% 229.04 shares
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Yes 18.1% 5,517.86 shares
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 8,333.33 shares
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Yes 23.6% 423.21 shares
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Yes 18% 555.56 shares
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Yes 13% 3,835.13 shares
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 2,631.58 shares