Polymarket Trader

ralph1ery-

0x1113df36de3b68c21ea58f1a495b38c2d3c394df

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $451.36
Realized PnL: $2.41K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $97.22
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.46K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $98.57
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $104.55
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $4.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$16.79

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $151.02
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $865.93
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $31.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $902.78
Potential profit: $902.78
User PnL: -$125

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $619.47
Potential profit: $619.47
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.8
Potential profit: $599.8
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $569.12
Potential profit: $569.12
User PnL: -$125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.9
Potential profit: $561.9
User PnL: -$180

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.27
Potential profit: $555.27
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.85
Potential profit: $499.85
User PnL: -$10

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $480
User PnL: -$19.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478.38
Potential profit: $478.38
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$30

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.33
Potential profit: $373.33
User PnL: -$149.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.77
Potential profit: $355.77
User PnL: -$100

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.17
Potential profit: $354.17
User PnL: -$85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.74
Potential profit: $349.74
User PnL: -$98.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.77
Potential profit: $337.77
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.65

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$17.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.28

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 35% 228.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 30% 333.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 15.3% 655.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 29% 344.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Down 39% 256.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Up 2% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Up 3% 333.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Down 60.7% 329.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Up 12.5% 802.63 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 2,857.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 49% 204.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 35% 14.29 shares