Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $48.21
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $70.83
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Polymarket Trader
lukerative
0x113272d6f6b20fee7f38334baaffa592a33731bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $101.3
- Realized PnL
- $92.24
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $53.08
- Potential payout
- $68.49
- Potential profit
- $15.41
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.06
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.73
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Win" or "Won" 3+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
Yes position
Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
Yes position
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes 73% 68.49 shares
- Will Trump say "Happy Birthday America" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes 42% 119.05 shares
- Will Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?Yes 89% 67.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?Yes 87.1% 64.51 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?Yes 93% 64.52 shares
- Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?Yes 99.6% 50.71 shares
- Will Trump say "Win" or "Won" 3+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?Yes 76% 51.62 shares
- Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?Yes 78.2% 50.27 shares
- Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 42.1% 54.25 shares
- Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 73.7% 54.26 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.3% 48.78 shares
- Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?Yes 99.6% 53.57 shares