SpyVsSpy

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $188.51
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $207.83

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $514.65
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $616.44
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$145.35

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $382.94
Potential payout: $531.86
Potential profit: $148.92
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$14.32

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $188.82
Potential payout: $524.49
Potential profit: $335.67
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$28.18

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $75.45
Potential payout: $442.49
Potential profit: $367.05
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: -$14.55

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $343.93
Potential payout: $422.05
Potential profit: $78.12
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$29.24

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $160.52
Potential payout: $406.39
Potential profit: $245.86
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$89.48

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $30.19
Potential payout: $402.49
Potential profit: $372.3
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$35.04

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $30.22
Potential payout: $355.49
Potential profit: $325.27
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $5.22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $339.27
Potential payout: $341.83
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: $39.27

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $311.83
Potential payout: $326.52
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.83

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $318.23
Potential payout: $320.32
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: $18.24

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $307.52
Potential payout: $315.25
Potential profit: $7.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.52

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $308.58
Potential payout: $310.59
Potential profit: $2.02
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $28.56
Potential payout: $300.62
Potential profit: $272.06
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.44

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $204.38
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $89.74
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $288.14
Potential payout: $292.98
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.13

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $275.02
Potential payout: $277.94
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $50.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $247.51
Potential payout: $249.88
Potential profit: $2.37
User PnL: $47.51

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $9.43
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $217.84
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $60.4
Potential payout: $224.13
Potential profit: $163.73
Multiplier: 3.71x
User PnL: $35.4

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $220.55
Potential payout: $222.33
Potential profit: $1.78
User PnL: $20.55

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $213.31
Potential payout: $220.02
Potential profit: $6.71
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $13.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.87

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.7

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.03

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.78

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.93

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.28

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.31

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.4

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.92

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.17

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.48

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.88

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.83

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.96

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.55

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.05

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.23

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.69

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.11

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?