No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.66K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $340
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Averykh
0x11405de71492255a6ff02b2d86dbed088ea2b55b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.21K
- Realized PnL
- $505.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $327.36
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $295.35
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $34.65
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $310.37
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $19.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $241.74
- Potential payout
- $316
- Potential profit
- $74.26
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$33.18
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $298.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $74.1
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $20.9
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $151.08
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.45
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.18
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.09
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 98.8% 330 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 94% 4,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 340 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 94% 319.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 289 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 2,584 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No 98.8% 0.29 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 94.7% 1,737.1 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 94.6% 470 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 95% 330 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 96.7% 316 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 99.3% 104 shares