Polymarket Trader

Yyds

0x114785ac979060cbc53d375898596757f492f436

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $549.08
Realized PnL: $44.82
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $127.39
Potential payout: $549.08
Potential profit: $421.69
Multiplier: 4.31x
User PnL: -$147.15

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.8%
Current value: $421.69
Potential payout: $549.08
Potential profit: $127.39
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $147.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

No position

Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.02

No position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95.8% 100 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 12AM ET

Down 97% 99.78 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.2% 450 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

No 97.3% 200 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.6% 400 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.4% 1,000 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.5% 500 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.5% 1,000 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 91.8% 357.56 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Yes 0.2% 200 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 91.5% 40 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 94.9% 100 shares