No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $447.17
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Polymarket Trader
0x1156491e8F97D7Dc0e22db232cBF625d02CC5eB4-1757019546750
0x1156491e8f97d7dc0e22db232cbf625d02cc5eb4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.45K
- Realized PnL
- $2.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $498.43
- Potential payout
- $586.73
- Potential profit
- $88.3
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $263.54
- Potential payout
- $298.47
- Potential profit
- $34.92
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.26
- Potential profit
- $97.26
- User PnL
- -$71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.94
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $273.06
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.87
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.91
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.45
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.14
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.51
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.31
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.76
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.96
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.45
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.04
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.82
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.45
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.61
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.75
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.34
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
No position
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.5% 298.47 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No 85.2% 586.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 93% 631.62 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 6.1% 2,921 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 73% 97.26 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No 87% 70.11 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 20% 2,921 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No 93% 628.17 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 49.8% 631.63 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No 94.3% 333.54 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 31.3% 1,202.7 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No 89.8% 418.64 shares