Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $36K
- Potential payout
- $378.9K
- Potential profit
- $342.9K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$25.42K
Polymarket Trader
0x115A63c208278A576150176880F48F064c94e4A6-1766247046507
0x115a63c208278a576150176880f48f064c94e4a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.02K
- Realized PnL
- $11.55K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $97.48
- Potential payout
- $194.96K
- Potential profit
- $194.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$270.81
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $780
- Potential payout
- $120K
- Potential profit
- $119.22K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$219.6
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.97K
- Potential payout
- $94.37K
- Potential profit
- $85.41K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.47K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $85.73K
- Potential profit
- $84.06K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $557.23
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $70.63K
- Potential profit
- $69.12K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $22.88
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $275
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.73K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $21.6K
- Potential profit
- $20.31K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$530.81
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.83K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $270
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.93K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $385
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.62K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $265
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.87K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $21.79
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $148.02
- Potential payout
- $7.22K
- Potential profit
- $7.07K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$203.96
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $362.95
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$13.06
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $675.31
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $174.33
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $373.67
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $94.94
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$48.04
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$131.01
Yes position
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $997.46
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $14.55
- Potential payout
- $285.92
- Potential profit
- $271.37
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$14.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.17K
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $273.65
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $133.28
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.68
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $107.2
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.45
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.93
Yes position
Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 49,964.86 shares
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 50,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 612 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 40,000 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.2% 25,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.2% 10,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.2% 100,000 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 15% 10,006.73 shares
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 25,000 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?Yes 0.8% 3,783.07 shares