Yes position
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $94.23
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$107.05
Polymarket Trader
Jooble
0x1167928d748801b06b3a025e1a5359cff598d1cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $538.93
- Realized PnL
- $682.22
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$161.36
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $338.63
- Potential payout
- $387
- Potential profit
- $48.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $203.35
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $39.1
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $300.9
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$75.5
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $108.93
- Potential profit
- $108.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Yes position
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$28.99
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $96.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.69
- Potential profit
- $95.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.88
- Potential profit
- $78.88
- User PnL
- -$16.45
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $64.01
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$40.33
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $58.1
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52.94
- Potential profit
- $52.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $49.42
- Potential profit
- $47.57
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.36
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$9.56
Yes position
Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$8.38
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $20.9
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $7.95
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$12.21
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.33
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.16
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.6
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.7
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.55
No position
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.81
No position
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.02
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June 27?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will Evo Morales win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 22% 50 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 12% 260 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 11.1% 701.48 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 11.1% 80 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 12.3% 529.87 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 29.99 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 14% 30 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 19% 50 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 80% 65 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 35% 37 shares
- Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes 38.5% 5 shares