Polymarket Trader

BigDiddyy

0x117da5d63e0cdc69cf9588e29d0909b63d94156c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $149.46
Realized PnL: $950.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $140.91
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $162.12
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $40.91

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $227.35
Potential profit: $219.73
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $2.62

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$100

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.29
Potential profit: $128.29
User PnL: -$40.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.69
Potential profit: $95.69
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.01
Potential profit: $89.01
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.56
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$9.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.71
Potential profit: $55.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.55

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.69

Yes position

Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.73

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.21

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.71

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.83

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.09

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.23

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.7

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.87

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.35

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.49

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.55

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.83

Yes position

Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Yes 33% 303.03 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 2.2% 227.35 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 74.8% 133.7 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 43.48 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22.5% 89.01 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 68% 147.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 253.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 76.9% 130 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

No 74.5% 134.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 99.9% 222.22 shares