Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $44.64
- Potential payout
- $119.04
- Potential profit
- $74.4
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $44.64
Polymarket Trader
0x1183...ea30
0x11832f4885eea450bddf1085ac900c8d26d1ea30
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $64.8
- Realized PnL
- $297.43
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.57
- Potential profit
- $65.57
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.86
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.26
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.17
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.99
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown 34% 58.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown 33.2% 60.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp 62% 32.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp 61% 32.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp 61% 32.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp 47% 42.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown 50% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp 65% 38.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown 64% 39.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown 64% 39.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp 50.2% 49.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp 51% 49.02 shares