Polymarket Trader

vonofff41

0x1184c40ec819ca4b02064ae5946d876376dea836

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.32
Realized PnL: $2.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $123.95
Potential profit: $122.65
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $77.07
Potential profit: $75.11
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $70.39
Potential profit: $70.03
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$13.65

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $66.8
Potential profit: $66.49
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $61.6
Potential profit: $59.38
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $45.19
Potential profit: $43.16
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$11.97

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $42.77
Potential profit: $42.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $42.64
Potential profit: $42.25
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $42.46
Potential profit: $42.33
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $41.56
Potential profit: $41.41
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $40.63
Potential profit: $40.41
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$12.96

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $15.56
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $24.44
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $13.96

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $36.88
Potential profit: $36.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$13.94

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $33.63
Potential profit: $33.34
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$14.71

Yes position

Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $32.58
Potential profit: $32.35
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$14.77

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $32.12
Potential profit: $31.06
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$13.94

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $31.97
Potential profit: $30.84
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$13.87

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $27.44
Potential profit: $27.4
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$11.64

Yes position

Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $25.96
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $22.9
Potential profit: $22.12
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $14.73
Potential profit: $14.64
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $8.17
Potential profit: $6.57
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.48

Minnesota Lynx position

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.22

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.4

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.85

Colorado Rockies position

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.57

Up position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.62

Over position

Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Over position

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.25

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.36

Spurs position

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.91

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.52

Over position

Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.24

Under position

Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 161.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.85

Up position

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.04

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.32

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals

Yes 0.3% 0.16 shares
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals

Yes 0.3% 0.74 shares
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals

Yes 0.5% 1.46 shares
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals

Yes 0.5% 0.19 shares
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots

Yes 0.3% 0.84 shares
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists

Yes 0.5% 0.21 shares
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists

Yes 0.5% 2.91 shares
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots

Yes 0.3% 2.65 shares
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

No 18% 6.11 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 12?

No 16.8% 6.55 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 12?

No 20% 5.5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12?

No 16% 6.88 shares