Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.71K
- Potential payout
- $20.04K
- Potential profit
- $15.33K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Polymarket Trader
russell110320
0x118689b24aead1d6e9507b8068d056b2ec4f051b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.05K
- Realized PnL
- $121.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $750
No position
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $7.34K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $153.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $730.26
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.82K
- Potential profit
- $5.82K
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $2.87K
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $809.66
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $348.03
Yes position
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.01K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $175.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $104.01
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $409.61
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$490
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688.31
- Potential profit
- $688.31
- User PnL
- -$21.86
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.81
- Potential profit
- $266.81
- User PnL
- -$64.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15K
Yes position
2025 August third hottest on record?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00-1.04ºC in June 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69K
Duke position
Alabama vs. Duke
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46K
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14K
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
No position
2024 October hottest on record?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
2025 March hottest on record?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
No position
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
No position
2025 May hottest on record?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?No 68.5% 3,680.28 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 28% 2,582.55 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 31% 7,651.9 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?Yes 90% 222 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?Yes 89% 28.3 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?Yes 89.6% 169.8 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No 89% 2,683.78 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No 89% 2,840.48 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?Yes 3.2% 688.31 shares
- Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?No 89.5% 1,938.9 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No 86% 1,973.5 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?Yes 82% 272.56 shares