Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $474.75
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.52K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$24.99
Polymarket Trader
0x1198...a4c7
0x119865a1ed599276505f60f77af9a3085c0ba4c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $474.75
- Realized PnL
- -$0.4
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$112.67
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.69
- Potential profit
- $229.69
- User PnL
- -$36.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Syria strikes Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out first?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Bally’s Corporation receive a license for Bally’s New York casino in The Bronx?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 12% 500 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 4,997.4 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 16% 229.69 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?No 18% 10 shares
- Will Eric Adams drop out first?No 45% 10 shares
- Will Eric Adams drop out first?No 47% 10 shares
- Syria strikes Israel by December 31?Yes 10% 10 shares
- US government shutdown in 2025?Yes 83% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes 56% 10 shares
- Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No 51% 10 shares
- Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes 49% 10 shares
- Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes 49% 10 shares