Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $51.42
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Polymarket Trader
DarkbloodCastle
0x11a2567804b27d449dfe43d9ac4828a364f34b20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.42
- Realized PnL
- $20.56
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
paiN position
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 56.82 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 53.19 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?Yes 99.8% 17.03 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?Yes 71.7% 12.55 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7?Yes 2.5% 40 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 96.1% 29.25 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.7% 29.26 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.4% 28.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.2% 28.23 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 30.2 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 30.21 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 79.8% 36.4 shares