Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $59.5
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$69.7
Polymarket Trader
0x64B3914606Ae211Ef81167c4164228206Ea4eacC-1777964078132
0x11c2872f91adc589aea5c0b77255eb394b62b258
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $421.7
- Realized PnL
- $34.96
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $857.14
- Potential profit
- $857.14
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$124
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $178.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $123.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $76.7
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $48.12
- Multiplier
- 5.05x
- User PnL
- -$18.12
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $48.12
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $11.88
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $18.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 62% 200 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 97.9% 198.06 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No 94.9% 540 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No 96.3% 530 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No 98.5% 520 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?No 98.3% 520 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No 99.8% 530 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 98.7% 400 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 0.7% 857.14 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.4% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No 99.7% 380 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 390 shares