Polymarket Trader

Asibula

0x11c845e14e46efca7d6df7358e0a18491e10be84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $365.87
Realized PnL: $3.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 'Elden Ring: Shadow of the Erdtree' win Game of the Year?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$70.57

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$219.47

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593.08
Potential profit: $593.08
User PnL: -$221.94

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $304.77
Potential payout: $580.51
Potential profit: $275.74
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $13.77

Over position

Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317
Potential profit: $317
User PnL: -$136.31

Clippers position

Suns vs. Clippers

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.81
Potential profit: $308.81
User PnL: -$262.49

Yes position

Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.37
Potential profit: $205.37
User PnL: -$108.71

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.02
Potential profit: $189.02
User PnL: -$31.42

NIP position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.34
Potential profit: $184.34
User PnL: -$160.38

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.06
Potential profit: $83.06
User PnL: -$15.35

Jazz position

76ers vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.48
Potential profit: $62.48
User PnL: -$20.62

No position

GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $23.6
Potential payout: $54.25
Potential profit: $30.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $37.51
Potential payout: $44.39
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $12.51

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.27
Potential profit: $37.27
User PnL: -$14.98

Magic position

Knicks vs. Magic

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.14
Potential profit: $35.14
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.64
Potential profit: $30.64
User PnL: -$5.73

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

Packers position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.11
Potential profit: $13.11
User PnL: -$11.8

Under position

Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.72
Potential profit: $9.72
User PnL: -$4.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 50m-75m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $256.01

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.55

Lakers position

Kings vs. Lakers

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.48

Yes position

Will Gladiator II gross between $53-60m on opening weekend?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.12

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.51

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.93

Yes position

Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.99

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.89

Yes position

Will Gladiator II gross between $60-67m on opening weekend?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.34

Yes position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.64

Yes position

Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.46

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 280-299 times?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.41

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.21

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.2

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

Yes position

Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.74

No position

Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.14

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.45

Under position

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.91

No position

US adds less than 100k jobs in August?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.28

Yes position

Will Rodri be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

No position

Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.19

Yes position

Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 50.1% 580.51 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

No 87.1% 150 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?

No 56.3% 44.39 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

No 87% 150 shares
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch

No 42% 51.86 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Yes 5.4% 99.02 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Yes 84% 572.62 shares
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?

Yes 98.5% 433.67 shares
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

No 99.7% 428 shares
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?

Yes 83.9% 459.15 shares
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?

Yes 82.8% 459.15 shares
Will "Michael" be the second highest grossing movie of this weekend?

Yes 17% 30 shares