Polymarket Trader

Denura2000

0x11c8d2c4f6e26d698364ad8b061d88a60db16f8f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $2.11K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621.89
Potential profit: $621.89
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.42
Potential profit: $403.42
User PnL: -$20

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.04
Potential profit: $400.04
User PnL: -$340

Yes position

Solana above $180 on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.4
Potential profit: $255.4
User PnL: -$14.37

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.97
Potential profit: $253.97
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.65
Potential profit: $221.65
User PnL: -$94.39

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $212.77
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.41
Potential profit: $187.41
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.96
Potential profit: $180.96
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Argentina position

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.15
Potential profit: $148.15
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.44
Potential profit: $144.44
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.88
Potential profit: $93.88
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.85
Potential profit: $86.85
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.63

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.06

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.49

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.06

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.28

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.27

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.63

Spain position

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.18

Up position

Solana Up or Down on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.44

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 245–259 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2 AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.11

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on May 26 at 5 PM ET?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 260–274 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Down 11% 239.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Up 56% 52.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Up 23% 52.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Down 28.8% 86.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 14.8% 277.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 8.2% 277.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Down 21% 119.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Down 89.7% 247.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Down 21% 247.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Up 94% 59.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Up 44% 59.23 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 6.8% 1,472.35 shares