Polymarket Trader

Abugabal

0x11d380644209bb1ab97e7b176e765d05fdef20c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $102.54
Realized PnL: $1.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.39K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $3.66K
User PnL: -$7

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$49.3

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $835.45
Potential profit: $835.45
User PnL: -$89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612.5
Potential profit: $612.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.12
Potential profit: $454.12
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.09
Potential profit: $416.09
User PnL: -$23.3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $359.82
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.44
Potential profit: $229.44
User PnL: -$35.35

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221.44
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.44
Potential profit: $189.44
User PnL: -$77.67

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $83.02
Potential payout: $184.49
Potential profit: $101.47
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $109.94
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.17
Potential profit: $80.17
User PnL: -$19.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.83
Potential profit: $69.83
User PnL: -$14.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.45
Potential profit: $50.45
User PnL: -$39.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $34.04
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $220.77

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.19

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.58

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.41

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 54.05 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 99.9% 6.09 shares
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Yes 7% 10.36 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ronaldo 1.2% 12.5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 99.9% 7.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Yes 99.9% 23.6 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 59% 5.08 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 52% 3.85 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 71% 4.23 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 68% 2.94 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 3.13 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 55.8% 155.89 shares