Polymarket Trader

EVProphet

0x11e3ec15545c6efeac1a85ca7b35ea5534cca727

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $171.35
Realized PnL: $453.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $904.83
Potential profit: $904.83
User PnL: -$15.52

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.13
Potential profit: $566.13
User PnL: -$14.51

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.53
Potential profit: $443.53
User PnL: -$25.01

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $333.34
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.27
Potential profit: $300.27
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.93
Potential profit: $169.93
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $28.73
Potential payout: $155.74
Potential profit: $127
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.52
Potential profit: $142.52
User PnL: -$36.02

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $119.26
Potential payout: $136.29
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $34.26

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.73
Potential profit: $121.73
User PnL: -$43.52

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.98
Potential profit: $113.98
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.33
Potential profit: $105.33
User PnL: -$70.01

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.38
Potential profit: $97.38
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $68.19
Potential profit: $63.76
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$27.57

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.25
Potential profit: $65.25
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.57
Potential profit: $59.57
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $18.92
Potential payout: $57.26
Potential profit: $38.33
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.38
Potential profit: $55.38
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.09
Potential profit: $54.09
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.14

No position

Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.02

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.34

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.03

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.54

76ers position

76ers vs. Wizards

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Will Palantir say "Commercial Growth" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 32% 46.88 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 55% 9.09 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 15.79 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 93.81 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 357.32 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 16 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 74% 6.84 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 75.5% 6.64 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 71.9% 13.91 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 67.9% 36.82 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 64.3% 38.88 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 66% 7.58 shares