Yes position
Will the US strike Cuba next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.4K
- Potential profit
- $39.4K
- User PnL
- -$204.96
Polymarket Trader
t1nkov1ch
0x11eae0fa28085b677018782a403f4a87e378d47e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $696.42
- Realized PnL
- -$287.33
- Win rate
- 45%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.83K
- Potential profit
- $8.83K
- User PnL
- -$265.99
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.33K
- Potential profit
- $7.33K
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.34K
- Potential profit
- $4.34K
- User PnL
- -$161.53
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $640.63
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $288.64
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- User PnL
- -$132
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$115.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $612.68
- Potential profit
- $612.68
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $561.92
- Potential profit
- $561.92
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547
- Potential profit
- $547
- User PnL
- -$49.23
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $26.54
- Potential payout
- $461.54
- Potential profit
- $435
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$33.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $427.06
- Potential profit
- $419.59
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.01
- Potential profit
- $323.01
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.04
- Potential profit
- $288.04
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.71
- Potential profit
- $185.71
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $12.27
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $169.55
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during College Football Roundtable?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.5
- Potential profit
- $162.5
- User PnL
- -$16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.2
- Potential profit
- $123.2
- User PnL
- -$49.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.56
- Potential profit
- $114.56
- User PnL
- -$49.25
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.7
- Potential profit
- $94.7
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during College Football Roundtable?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US strike another country first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes 9% 547 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 217.39 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes 3.8% 1,404.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes 6.4% 1,052.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 78% 12.82 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes 11.9% 89.32 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes 3.7% 1,819.02 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes 3.7% 779.58 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes 6.4% 752 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes 3.7% 338.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown 42% 56.33 shares
- Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares