Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $4.4
Polymarket Trader
0x11f432A7835e0E51E195bB0899B83ef7B2A8bf3a-1771334019833
0x11f432a7835e0e51e195bb0899b83ef7b2a8bf3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11
- Realized PnL
- $108.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $12.29
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?Yes 67.6% 7.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?No 31.8% 5.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?No 90.9% 5.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?No 39.9% 11.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?Yes 28.2% 16.48 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No 45.3% 12.59 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No 79.4% 12.59 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 77% 6.49 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 33% 15.15 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 36% 13.89 shares