Yes position
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $181.25
- Potential payout
- $594.26
- Potential profit
- $413.01
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$42.11
Polymarket Trader
cabbala
0x11f864798150a6749b94570fe065c27e8bd91c4e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.88K
- Realized PnL
- $2.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $49.02
- Potential payout
- $516
- Potential profit
- $466.98
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$26.71
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $64.69
- Potential payout
- $417.33
- Potential profit
- $352.65
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$8.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $36.49
- Potential payout
- $410.04
- Potential profit
- $373.55
- Multiplier
- 11.24x
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $29.78
- Potential payout
- $397
- Potential profit
- $367.23
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$28.8
No position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $373.98
- Potential payout
- $382
- Potential profit
- $8.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.93
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $154.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $145.5
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $235.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $64.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $97.82
- Potential payout
- $268
- Potential profit
- $170.18
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $93.79
- Potential payout
- $260.54
- Potential profit
- $166.75
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $34.6
- Potential payout
- $255.32
- Potential profit
- $220.72
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $14.04
- Potential payout
- $216
- Potential profit
- $201.96
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Yes position
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $206.78
- Potential profit
- $204.61
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$26.78
Yes position
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $28.28
- Potential payout
- $195
- Potential profit
- $166.73
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.77
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $155.71
- Potential payout
- $170.08
- Potential profit
- $14.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $53.35
- Potential payout
- $164.16
- Potential profit
- $110.81
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $45.93
- Potential payout
- $161.22
- Potential profit
- $115.29
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $12.07
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.2%
- Current value
- $39.69
- Potential payout
- $136.15
- Potential profit
- $96.46
- Multiplier
- 3.43x
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $117.67
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
N
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.6%
- Current value
- $72.3
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $39.7
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$26.26
Yes position
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $83.37
- Potential payout
- $97.51
- Potential profit
- $14.14
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $95.79
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.28
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $21.21
- Potential payout
- $78.56
- Potential profit
- $57.35
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $3.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $219.41
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.76
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.38
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.56
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $127.99
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.45
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.34
Yes position
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $112.93
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $109.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.76
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.6
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.32
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.16
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.64
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $85.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $80.36
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $77.09
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $67.92
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $66.92
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.89
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.27
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.08x
- User PnL
- $60.89
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.82
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $52.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 87% 33 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 22.2% 17.8 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 1.2% 11 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 2% 128 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 1% 39 shares
- Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 22% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 69% 10 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 38% 88 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 71.1% 7.15 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No 71.1% 15 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 56% 10 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 2% 45 shares