Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.87
- Potential profit
- $76.87
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
ZepAleus
0x11fd0162a9704799d0c5f7e23e208849dd91d5d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.93
- Realized PnL
- -$89.55
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $7.24
- Potential payout
- $38.4
- Potential profit
- $31.16
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $7.07
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 84% 7.07 shares
- No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes 12% 7.69 shares
- No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 3.1% 32.26 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 6.4% 15.63 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 6.9% 28.99 shares
- Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes 93.3% 11.04 shares
- Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes 90% 11.04 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?Yes 6.5% 38.4 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 97.4% 12.87 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 93.2% 12.88 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 6.7% 185.59 shares