Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $304.99
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- -$53.23
Polymarket Trader
matrixisrealfosho
0x1201d50c2f8764dc882e1f192065dd90fc1d924a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $849.45
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212
- Potential profit
- $212
- User PnL
- -$143.96
No position
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.8%
- Current value
- $98.02
- Potential payout
- $129.25
- Potential profit
- $31.23
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $109.53
- Potential payout
- $115.11
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $21.49
- Potential payout
- $64.16
- Potential profit
- $42.67
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $60.01
- Potential profit
- $54.1
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $18.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $41.7
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
No position
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $38.68
- Potential payout
- $48.66
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
No position
Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.2
- Potential profit
- $47.2
- User PnL
- -$44.71
No position
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $40.51
- Potential payout
- $40.78
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $34.3
- Potential payout
- $40.19
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
No position
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $39.1
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $30.59
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $23.15
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $33.49
- Potential payout
- $36.7
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Current value
- $26.04
- Potential payout
- $34.91
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
No position
Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $32.49
- Potential payout
- $32.97
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $29.37
- Potential payout
- $32.35
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $28.23
- Potential payout
- $32.06
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $30.45
- Potential payout
- $31.92
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $29.39
- Potential payout
- $31.43
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
No position
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $26.35
- Potential payout
- $31.06
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
No position
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $28.48
- Potential payout
- $30.79
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $30.65
- Potential payout
- $30.76
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $216.56
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $150.98
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.93
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- $45.5
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.07
Yes position
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $39.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.47
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $36.74
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.08
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $26.73
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $17.48
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.37
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will Kyle Kirkwood win the 2026 IndyCar Detroit Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?No 99.8% 40.37 shares
- Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?No 96.8% 46.06 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?No 77.4% 94.08 shares
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No 99.7% 80.86 shares
- Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 10.02 shares
- Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?No 99.9% 20.07 shares
- Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?No 93.8% 147.83 shares
- Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?No 52.4% 112.86 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 17% 10 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 9.2% 80.23 shares
- Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No 45.8% 55.56 shares
- Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?No 99.7% 1.03 shares