Polymarket Trader

Arif668

0x121d5c665a9b3497815216b07bc0543e20cd832a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.8K
Realized PnL: $4.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $22K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.24K
Potential profit: $10.24K
User PnL: -$149.99

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$333.99

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$20.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $88.84
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $571.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $977.12
Potential profit: $977.12
User PnL: -$30.4

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $912.67
Potential profit: $912.67
User PnL: -$101.63

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$112

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $677.42
Potential profit: $677.42
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.53
Potential profit: $634.53
User PnL: -$19.04

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $581.33
Potential profit: $581.33
User PnL: -$84.89

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $481.73
Potential profit: $481.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $333.34
User PnL: -$40

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 1?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.4
Potential profit: $289.4
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.99
Potential profit: $279.99
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $171.62
Potential profit: $166.99
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$15.37

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.8
Potential profit: $130.8
User PnL: -$40

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $100.58
Potential payout: $126.44
Potential profit: $25.86
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $14.39
Potential payout: $119.9
Potential profit: $105.51
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$85.61

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $103.65
Potential payout: $118.46
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.97

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $727.52

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.61

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.77

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $243.2

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.2%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $232.66

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.92

Ceasefire position

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.72

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.88

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.57

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.54

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.91

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.29

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.47

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.15

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.45

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $31.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.98

No position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.35

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 60.2% 1,660.65 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 92.8% 100 shares
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 92% 114.94 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 104.38 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

No 99% 8.08 shares
Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 96.9% 82.12 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

No 98.3% 240.08 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 53.2% 61.05 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 84.4% 118.46 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 81% 59.9 shares
Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 91% 114.04 shares
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 96.3% 105.52 shares