Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Polymarket Trader
yaoy87ing685
0x121fcc587eb564afb30c2411e4f44cb46dfd3066
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.84K
- Realized PnL
- -$8.51
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $614.78
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $627.2
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$622.31
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $77
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $4.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$8.56
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9PM ETUp 99.9% 292 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ETDown 0.2% 158.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ETDown 0.2% 158.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ETDown 0.2% 399 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ETDown 0.3% 300 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No 99.8% 8,560 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?No 99.9% 8,560 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 8,601 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 8,601 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 8,608 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No 99.7% 1,268.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on May 28?No 99.8% 1.17 shares