Polymarket Trader

UncleFill

0x1232e5b39f0fe5ace85c1ab9d84aaf1a22776158

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $298.52
Realized PnL: $707.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$16.03

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $39.01
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $26.21

Yes position

Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $231.7
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $968.8
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$19.39

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.94

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.3

No position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.63

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.1

No position

Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.5

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos be released on June 28?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.71

No position

Will NVIDIA say "Gigawatt" during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos be released on June 26?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA say "Token" 20+ times during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.4%
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will NVIDIA say "Open Source" during their next earnings call?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 1.9% 368.71 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 0.3% 2,500 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 1% 437.77 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19.2% 24.5 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 0.7% 634.21 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19.2% 25 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 0.7% 222.64 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 15 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 15 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 340 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 200 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 200 shares