Polymarket Trader

lukimdr2

0x1239691f2cbaedf8e62bca0fc217db9e5d62f34c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $239.02
Realized PnL: $631.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $225.98
Potential payout: $225.98
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $175.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.3
Potential profit: $163.3
User PnL: -$97.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $13.04
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $136.97
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: -$16.97

Yes position

Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.86
Potential profit: $119.86
User PnL: -$100.68

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.48
Potential profit: $46.48
User PnL: -$20.45

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.62
Potential profit: $44.62
User PnL: -$37.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.31

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.99

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.96

No position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.23

Yes position

Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.2

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.59

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.32

Yes position

Will Brentford win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.49

Up position

Bitcoin up in Q1 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.31

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

Yes position

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.68

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.95

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Yes position

Will $MELANIA FDV be $1-3b on Friday?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.99

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.95

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 20% 150 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 31.7% 125.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Yes 60% 163.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Yes 36.8% 144.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 30?

Yes 43% 104.59 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 30?

Yes 47% 104.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Yes 34.6% 144.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?

No 99.9% 99.26 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?

No 79% 99.27 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?

Yes 20.9% 374.42 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?

Yes 24% 374.42 shares