Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $7.16K
- Potential payout
- $43.39K
- Potential profit
- $36.23K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
Polymarket Trader
OrientSunshine
0x123de0ad4c48b38afe04769bad4b4739cb0baa74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.16K
- Realized PnL
- -$4.27K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.18
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.5
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 0.3% 18,095.23 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 14% 1,428.57 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 30% 15,000 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 30% 1,666.67 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 73% 740 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 37.1% 588.3 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 27% 740 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 17% 588.3 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 49% 51.02 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 9% 277.77 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 52% 100 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 23.1% 43,380.34 shares