Polymarket Trader

LIBAI

0x124e0c267df00ebc350198c73e1e71f26a10a8a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $373.11
Realized PnL: $4.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$240.22

No position

Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$350.93

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $249.21
Potential payout: $607.82
Potential profit: $358.62
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $68.37

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.63
Potential profit: $289.63
User PnL: -$123.84

Yes position

Will Dollar Tree Q1 comparable store net sales growth be below 3%?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.1
Potential profit: $274.1
User PnL: -$31.64

Yes position

Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.5B?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.88
Potential profit: $236.88
User PnL: -$14.87

No position

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198
Potential profit: $198
User PnL: -$130.68

No position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $123.9
Potential payout: $179.59
Potential profit: $55.69
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $25.23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.84
Potential profit: $176.84
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by January 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $158
User PnL: -$127.9

Under position

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$46.5

Yes position

Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be between 17.5% and 20%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143
Potential profit: $143
User PnL: -$50.23

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.71
Potential profit: $130.71
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.45
Potential profit: $111.45
User PnL: -$87.08

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.61
Potential profit: $106.61
User PnL: -$1.07

Over position

Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.88
Potential profit: $97.88
User PnL: -$50.9

No position

Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the January meeting?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$40.2

No position

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$17.54

Yes position

Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$36.59

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.89
Potential profit: $55.89
User PnL: -$2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $848.27

No position

Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $797.98

Yes position

Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be above 20%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.13

No position

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.60B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.83

No position

Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.52

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.5

No position

Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.15

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.84

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.92

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.68

No position

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.65B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.72

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.67

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.42

Yes position

Will Dollar Tree Q1 comparable store net sales growth be between 3% and 4%?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.72

Yes position

Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.51

Yes position

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.37

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.07

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.21

No position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.53

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.41

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.21

Yes position

Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?

No 55% 10.6 shares
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?

Yes 21.5% 21.4 shares
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?

No 54.9% 168.99 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Under 56% 55.68 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 47% 49.34 shares
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Yes 18% 61 shares
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?

Yes 50% 34.85 shares
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?

No 0.1% 50 shares
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?

No 14% 9.3 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

Yes 27% 44.98 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?

Yes 41% 15 shares
Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 80% 4.89 shares