Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$322.53
Polymarket Trader
Motosha
0x124f1f38b694344eeefcc1e4a36fe87601510dea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.81K
- Realized PnL
- $4.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $90.46
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$406.17
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $813.45
- Potential payout
- $957
- Potential profit
- $143.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $474.31
- Potential payout
- $658.76
- Potential profit
- $184.45
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $40.31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.53
- Potential profit
- $632.53
- User PnL
- -$66.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $27.12
- Potential payout
- $609.36
- Potential profit
- $582.24
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$18.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $533.39
- Potential payout
- $543.72
- Potential profit
- $10.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.15
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $84.32
- Potential payout
- $542.24
- Potential profit
- $457.92
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $26.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $380.38
- Potential payout
- $532
- Potential profit
- $151.62
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $25.36
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $525
- Potential profit
- $525
- User PnL
- -$88.22
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.83
- Potential profit
- $498.83
- User PnL
- -$171.46
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $484.49
- Potential profit
- $484.49
- User PnL
- -$347.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $212.21
- Potential payout
- $456.36
- Potential profit
- $244.15
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $62.73
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $358.44
- Potential payout
- $445.27
- Potential profit
- $86.83
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $207.05
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $20.77
- Potential payout
- $419.65
- Potential profit
- $398.88
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $390
- User PnL
- -$73.83
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $175.41
- Potential payout
- $354.36
- Potential profit
- $178.95
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $96.44
- Potential payout
- $350.7
- Potential profit
- $254.26
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$17.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.36
- Potential profit
- $320.36
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315.44
- Potential profit
- $315.44
- User PnL
- -$14.35
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $296.95
- Potential payout
- $302.39
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $242.99
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$158.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.44
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $370.77
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.36
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.37
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.49
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $148.32
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.47
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.28
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.35
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.88
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.27
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.14
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.89
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.07
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 257.97 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59% 49.55 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 13% 53.18 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 67.1% 0.61 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 66.1% 0.4 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 66.2% 16.76 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 66.2% 2.75 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 34% 66.61 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 34% 54.68 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 34% 10.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 32% 8.01 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 32% 20.32 shares