Polymarket Trader

Roguer

@ModelMSunshine

0x1258d4bc29c950ebadd873a5bfd314b488b5e038

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.4
Realized PnL: $2.4K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.98

Pelicans position

Lakers vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $23.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $4.2

Pacers position

Cavaliers vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.2

Kings position

Mavericks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$12.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Lakers position

Grizzlies vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.08

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Trail Blazers position

Rockets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119

Jazz position

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.4

Trail Blazers position

Rockets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.8

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.5

Pacers position

Celtics vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.5

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.6

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.2

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Wizards position

Magic vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Grizzlies position

Spurs vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Kings position

Lakers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 18% 59.99 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?

No 97% 10 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 87% 8.7 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 79% 20 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 64% 80 shares
Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Cavaliers 39% 1,034.97 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Pistons 12% 1,000 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Pistons 8% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

No 99.8% 2,000 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Yes 32% 989.84 shares
Heat vs. Bulls

Bulls 32% 160 shares
Lakers vs. Kings

Kings 24% 220 shares