Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $31.01
- Potential payout
- $153.16
- Potential profit
- $122.15
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$45.57
Polymarket Trader
ukiqq4135
0x12641628d4cdf3d93733fb6abc9062acc82d7778
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.53
- Realized PnL
- $225.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $122.15
- Potential payout
- $153.16
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $45.57
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $15.37
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $50.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.21
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Unit launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Base airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Linea airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Base airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super KingsChennai Super Kings 42% 5 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes 69% 2.79 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 30.2% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 29% 4.99 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 14% 6 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?Yes 4.3% 5 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 13% 1.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 25% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 42% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 71% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 14% 5 shares