Polymarket Trader

day77

0x126d8007c5facabe83dc4dc32e11f6d47f8ef863

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.78K
Realized PnL: $849.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $433.63
Potential payout: $439.56
Potential profit: $5.93
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $33.63

No position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $339.42
Potential payout: $344.94
Potential profit: $5.52
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.43

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $169.51
Potential payout: $253
Potential profit: $83.49
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$30.49

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $178.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $71.25
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $215.85
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $28.05
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $15.85

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $10.27
Potential payout: $233.33
Potential profit: $223.07
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$24.73

No position

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $158.71
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $13.71
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $13.78
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $151.22
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $7.57

No position

Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $100.5
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $0.51
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $28.1
Potential payout: $98.63
Potential profit: $70.53
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $72.72
Potential payout: $79.34
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.32
Potential profit: $57.32
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.89
Potential profit: $49.89
User PnL: -$14.47

Yes position

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.07
Potential profit: $32.07
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $30.45
Potential payout: $31.04
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $29.2
Potential payout: $29.67
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.82
Potential profit: $9.82
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $6.98
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560.39

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $66.7

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.11

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Yes position

Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Over position

Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

Yes position

'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?

Ends Sep 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

Under position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Under position

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

No position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will Zendaya wear Loewe at the Met Gala?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Trump say "Deport" or "Deportation" during Honduran President events?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Iran" this week?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Iowa Hawkeyes position

Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?

No 79.1% 253 shares
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?

Yes 37% 6 shares
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Yes 43.6% 57.32 shares
Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?

No 96.6% 31.04 shares
Will Ariana Grande feature Kanye West on Petal?

No 99% 101.01 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 15% 233.33 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 245.25 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.3% 151.06 shares
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 59.7% 41.85 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 47% 53.19 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 91% 120 shares
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?

No 89% 344.94 shares