No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.03K
- Potential profit
- $70.03K
- User PnL
- -$322.71
Polymarket Trader
0x127BecB35C763e0daB5eF4CB957F799a0541AfA7-1768514416287
0x127becb35c763e0dab5ef4cb957f799a0541afa7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25
- Realized PnL
- $857.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.21K
- Potential profit
- $23.21K
- User PnL
- -$95.98
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.84K
- Potential profit
- $14.84K
- User PnL
- -$81.13
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.29K
- Potential profit
- $10.29K
- User PnL
- -$65.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.06K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.19K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $981.49
- Potential profit
- $981.49
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $807.57
- Potential profit
- $807.57
- User PnL
- -$8.36
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600.16
- Potential profit
- $600.16
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.6
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.9
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.24
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.41
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.54
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.39
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.87
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.14
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.37
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?Yes 8.4% 11.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 125 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 3.9% 512.82 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares