Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $18.19
- Potential payout
- $78.25
- Potential profit
- $60.06
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Polymarket Trader
Stee797
0x127d22cd11e4083ebea8c1cd3e5a1182bcd958b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.42
- Realized PnL
- $212.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $69.98
- Potential profit
- $66.3
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.68
- Potential profit
- $68.68
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $20.78
- Potential payout
- $43.75
- Potential profit
- $22.97
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $36.65
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $37.73
- Potential profit
- $36.37
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $12.86
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $15.71
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $12.4
- Potential payout
- $26.96
- Potential profit
- $14.56
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Ends Oct 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $14.81
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $12.84
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.06
- Potential profit
- $10.06
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.42
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $7.59
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Otto Virtanen position
Nottingham 2: Otto Virtanen vs Christopher O'Connell
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.94
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.48
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.02
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.64
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.23
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Raiders position
Ravens vs. Raiders
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
Browns position
Jaguars vs. Browns
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Solana above $215 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Solana above $130 on September 13?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Luca Van Assche position
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Luca Van Assche
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Bitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp 31% 3.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp 99.9% 1.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp 88% 1.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown 44% 2.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown 56% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp 69% 1.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp 67% 4.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 20?No 99.7% 2.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?Yes 99.6% 1.66 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp 23% 4.35 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp 35% 5.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown 46% 5.76 shares