Polymarket Trader

fresh-donkey-urine

0x1280d19513c4da1d07d772d0d92b3444e48f6c68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.69
Realized PnL: $70.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.11
Potential profit: $211.11
User PnL: -$2

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40.5
Potential profit: $40.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.23

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $29.24
Potential profit: $18.82
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29.08
Potential profit: $29.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $18.76
Potential profit: $16.87
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.21
Potential profit: $17.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $12.33
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Gaimin Gladiators position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 9-15?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 53.6%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Suns position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

G2 position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?

Yes 24% 16.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?

Yes 11.6% 17.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 1?

Yes 3% 11.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Yes 44.7% 7.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?

Yes 94% 23.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 1?

Yes 17.2% 29.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?

Yes 99% 9.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?

Yes 40.2% 18.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?

Yes 99% 7.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 1?

Yes 19.7% 11.95 shares