Yes position
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
velor1
@a_velor
0x1288369df4a497402b8603f9b53ad6d5cfc5121c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.34
- Realized PnL
- $22.94
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $721.22
- Potential profit
- $719.41
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.15
- Potential profit
- $77.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.74
- Potential profit
- $76.74
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.57
- Potential profit
- $48.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.29
- Potential payout
- $47.37
- Potential profit
- $39.08
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "Women's Sport" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 4.9% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 29?Yes 1.4% 721.22 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 19% 47.37 shares
- Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be between 85 and 90?No 0.2% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?Yes 4.1% 16.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 4.3% 56.74 shares
- Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be between 85 and 90?No 2.6% 5.07 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 6.1% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?Yes 2.1% 48.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?Yes 11% 18.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?Yes 1.1% 350 shares