Polymarket Trader

0x129047223a4c5FF6dc113f59256A682Eaa644d56-1774902623061

0x129047223a4c5ff6dc113f59256a682eaa644d56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.33
Realized PnL: $6.05
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $195.08
Potential profit: $189.04
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.19
Potential profit: $60.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $32.91
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $35.29
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $34.27
Potential profit: $33.87
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $27.04
Potential profit: $26.8
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $25.98
Potential profit: $25.39
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.58
Potential profit: $13.58
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $6.57
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.11
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.23
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Karoline Leavitt be less than 15 minutes late to the next press briefing?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $1.06
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Trump say "Democrat" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 17% 35.29 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 59% 8.47 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 13.58 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 8.57 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 69% 1.45 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

No 6.7% 14.93 shares